- June 18, 2025
Industrial and Manufacturing Production, Real Retail Sales – Business Cycle Indicators
With industrial production, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure 1:
Slowdown? Business Cycle Indicator Data as of Mid-June
With SPGMI’s monthly GDP, we have the following picture of series the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee focuses on: Figure
Macroeconomic Implications of Premature Escalation in LA
ICE raids are concentrated in blue states, including CA, NY. These states account for about 22% of national GDP, at
Deport Dishwashers or Solve All Murders?
I understand being concerned about illegal immigration. I definitely understand being concerned about murder, rape, and robbery. What I don’t
Is American Consumption too High?
The Economist asks the question, and says — in part — yes. Rebalancing the global economy is Donald Trump’s defining
Greg Mankiw’s Blog: Stanley Fischer
About Me Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University.
Why LLMs make certain mistakes
Via Nabeel Qureshi, from Claude 4 Sonnet, from this tweet. The post Why LLMs make certain mistakes appeared first on
Imports from China, Foretold | Econbrowser
More accurately, nowcasted using inbound container traffic. Two thirds of Chinese imports (by value) comes by sea freight. And sea
You Can See the End of the Great Stagnation Everywhere but in the Productivity Statistics
Eli Dourado continues to keep his eye on the most important number in the world, total factor productivity. It continues
Chinn-Ito Financial Openness Index Updated to 2022
Just published, Chinn-Ito index, available here. Normalized to [0,1], with 1 being most open, here’s the world. Here’re average values