- February 1, 2026
Import Trends: Output, Policy Uncertainty, and/or Tariffs
As i was producing some extra slides for my macro course, I generated this graph: Figure 1: Change in GDP
Kamin & Sobel: “Termites are slowly feasting away at the foundations of the dollar’s dominance”
In the FT today: The dollar’s dominance was built on the foundation of America’s many strengths. But like termites eating
Uncertainty Drivers: Tariffs on Canada or Government Shutdown?
Economic Policy Uncertainty spikes on Sunday. Figure 1: EPU (blue, left scale), seven day centered moving average (red, left scale),
History of Econ Summer Camp
Graduate students with an interest in the history of economic thought should consider this summer program. Source link
Fear of larger wars in East Africa
This is one of my major worries for 2026 and beyond. The ethnic and tribal conflict in Ethiopia is not
The share of factor income paid to computers
Via Kevin Bryan. The post The share of factor income paid to computers appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Groceries Rose 9% m/m (annualized) in December
Reported hits the September USDA Economic Research Service forecast. Figure 1 displays the food-at-home component of the CPI, along with
Change in Federal Debt Held by the Public, Trump 1.0, 2.0, and Biden
The graph says it all. Figure 1: Federal debt held by the public, trn $, end-of-period (blue, left log scale),
The Tyranny of the Complainers
Some years ago, Dourado and Russell pointed out a stunning fact about airport noise complaints: A very large number come
Why Some US Indian Reservations Prosper While Others Struggle
Our colleague Thomas Stratmann writes about the political economy of Indian reservations in his excellent Substack Rules and Results. Across 123