- October 10, 2025
Divergence in Employment Growth, by Firm Size
Beware the aggregates. The slowdown is showing up in smaller firms first, according to BLS Business Employment Dynamics data.
The ai Boom
The tiny country of Anguilla (pop 15,000) has an official country top-level domain code for the internet of .ai. Domain
Business Cycle Implications from the ADP Release
My nowcast of BLS private nonfarm payroll employment was for a decreaes of 78K, but with a very wide prediction
Douglas Holtz-Eakin on Trade and the Future of the Global Economy [updated]
In a discussion with myself and Aaron Zitzelsberger (WEDC), at UW Madison, Thursday 2 October 2025, sponsored
What Exactly Happened to the Dollar around “Liberation Day”: Illiquidity vs. No-Confidence
Some people argue the concurrent dollar decline and Treasury yield incrase was attributable to liquidity issues as repicing occurred against
AI and the FDA
Dean Ball has an excellent survey of the AI landscape and policy that includes this: The speed of drug development
Greg Mankiw’s Blog: Flier on RFK Jr
About Me Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University.
Is it the phones?
Or perhaps we should just credit Sydney Sweeney? That is from Chris Said. The post Is it the phones? appeared
The Danger of Fed Credibility under Assault
If credibility is degraded, then tariff induced cost-push shocks are less likely to manifest as one-off price
The British War on Slavery
In August of 1833 the British passed legislation abolishing slavery within the British Empire and putting more than 800,000 enslaved