- April 5, 2026
Trump Credibility Measured | Econbrowser
From TruthSocial, 5AM ET: Kalshi betting odds on number of ships through Strait of Hormuz through April 5: Source:
Nowcast, Tracking of Private Domestic Final Demand (aka “core GDP”)
From Atlanta Fed and Goldman Sachs, today: Figure 1: Final sales to private domestic purchasers (bold black), 2023-24 stochastic trend
113 Years of the Real Oil Price (WTI)
Tyler Godspeed (former acting CEA Chair Trump 1.0; chief economist ExxonMobil) observes that shocks as determinants of recessions means they
Marginal Garfield
Marginal Garfield generates an original Garfield cartoon every day based on posts from Marginal Revolution! Here is the first strip.
Physician Incomes and the Extreme Shortage of High IQ Workers
Physician incomes are extraordinarily high in the United States. A new NBER paper finds that U.S. physicians earn roughly two
South African safari photo by Holly Cowen
The post South African safari photo by Holly Cowen appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Jürgen Habermas, RIP
Here is one obituary. My favorite book of his was The Structural Transformation of the Public Sphere: An Inquiry into a
I talk with Larry Kotlikoff
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use
Seems Plausible: Recession in 2026
Polymarket, using definition of 2 quarters of consecutive negative GDP growth OR NBER declaration. It was only 23% on February