Artificial intelligence is being asked to predict the future of AI

Artificial intelligence model predictions from historical data on how AI research would develop over five years matched reality with more than 99 per cent accuracy – soon they will be asked what comes next

By Chris Stokel-Walker

Artificial intelligence models are being used to try to predict the future of artificial intelligence research. Thankfully, none of them say we are due an AI apocalypse.

Mario Krenn at the Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light in Erlangen, Germany, and his colleagues trained an AI model to analyse 143,000 papers published on the arXiv preprint server between 1994 and 2021. All the papers covered areas of interest to AI. From that list, they used a natural language processing tool to …