- December 3, 2025
Consensus vs. ARIMA(1,1,1): ADP Private Nonfarm Payroll
Bloomberg consensus is +7K for ADP release. Figure 1: ADP private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), ARIMA(1,1,1)
What we’re grateful for – Marginal REVOLUTION
Here is the Free Press symposium, here is my contribution: Tyler Cowen, columnist I am grateful for how many parts
Clifford Winston: “Market Corrections Not Government Interventions”
That’s the title of a new book (Palgrave MacMillan) by Clifford Winston, Senior Nonresident Fellow in Economic Studies at Brookings.
Side-Walking Problems
Local Law 11 requires owners of New York City’s 16,000-plus buildings over six stories to get a “close-up, hands-on” facade
Nano Banana Pro does Marginal Revolution
Via Rohit Krishnan. The post Nano Banana Pro does Marginal Revolution appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
I talk with Michael Klein
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use
The Trump Agenda and the Housing Stock
Think deportations and construction labor force (not housing demand), and tariffs and construction costs. On the first
UCSD Faculty Sound Alarm on Declining Student Skills
The UC San Diego Senate Report on Admissions documents a sharp decline in students’ math and reading skills—a warning that
Affordability sentences to ponder
The post Affordability sentences to ponder appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Creative Stagnation
Credit: Todd Lappin This is insane: Legislation requiring cars and trucks, including electric vehicles, to have AM radios easily cleared