- November 14, 2024
Instantaneous Core Inflation: Various Measures
Core up, but supercore down: Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), chained core CPI (tan), supercore CPI (pink), services
Info Finance
Excellent post by Vitalik on prediction markets and the broader category of what he calls info finance: Now, we get
“The Recession of 2025 Will Be Backdated” to 2022
Thet’s Jeffrey Tucker in the Epoch Times via ZeroHedge. It’s a reasonable supposition that a recession will become obvious to
Spinoza is ten years old today
Happy Birthday Spinoza! The post Spinoza is ten years old today appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
Business Cycle Indicators as of November’s Start
Employment for October and monthly GDP for September, in the set of variables followed by the NBER’s BCDC: Figure 1: Nonfarm
If the Official Inflation Rate Is Correct, the Real Policy Rate In Russia Is Now 12.4%
The Central Bank of Russia today raised the policy rate from 19% to 21%. That’s assuming (1) adaptive expectations, and
Nonsensical Graphs that People Post
Item 1: Source: Antoni. Item 2: Source: Antoni. Not that the data are “wrong” (I’m not a data conspiracy theorist).
I talk with Scott Wolla
Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University. I use
Eric Hovde: In Recession | Econbrowser
Video today. 55% of Americans believe they are in a recession. Why? Because they have been in one. Most indicators