- July 27, 2025
Betting on 2.5% | Econbrowser
Kalshi today. 2.4% from GDPNow and the Bloomberg consensus. Figure 1: GDP as reported (bold black), GDPNow (blue open square),
How Resilient Is the Consumer, Really?
I see this constantly remarked upon, so I wanted to check the data. Figure 1: Consumption, 2017$ (bold black, left
“Groceries” under Trump | Econbrowser
ERS predicts 2.2% increase in food-at-home prices in 2025. Figure 1: CPI food-at-home (black); ERS forecast of January (light blue
D’accord !
That is from the French embassy in the UK. The post D’accord ! appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION. Source link
WSJ July Survey: 2025 q4/q4 Growth at 1%
From WSJ July survey out today: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), WSJ July survey mean (tan), lowest/highest 10% based on
Technology Transfer and Development Economics
Willis Carrier invented modern air conditioning around 1904 but technological innovations often take a long time to travel to less
Trump Accounts are a Big Deal
Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act was signed into law on July 4, 2025. It’s so big that many significant
Greg Mankiw’s Blog: Today I Learned
About Me Name: Greg Mankiw Location: United States I am the Robert M. Beren Professor of Economics at Harvard University.
Amazon’s Robotic Revolution
Amazon now employs almost as many robots as humans leading to huge productivity improvements. From the second graph, “end-to-end” packages
Privatize Federal Land!
I’ve long advocated selling off some federal land—an idea that reliably causes mass fainting spells among the enlightened. How could