Graph Shows A Wild Race In The AL Central

The American League Central division is one of the most unpredictable in MLB.

Last year, the Minnesota Twins were supposed to fight with the Chicago White Sox for the title and ended up in last place.

This year, the White Sox don’t look that strong, and the Twins have returned to relevancy and are competing with the Cleveland Guardians for the top spot.

After another walk-off home run on Thursday, the Guardians are just one game behind the Twins.

The White Sox?

They are 5.5 games back (and four games behind .500), but should still be considered contenders.

Who will win the AL Central?

That’s the million dollar question.

Look at this chart by FanGraphs:

Who’s gonna win the American League Central? pic.twitter.com/ESL7oYJjQk

— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) June 30, 2022

The White Sox started off strong but after April, their odds have been decreasing little by little.

It would be foolish to write them off in June, though.

The Twins Have The Best Odds To Win The AL Central

The Twins weren’t that impressive in April, but had a resurgence in May and are still the owners of the division’s top spot.

Slowly but surely, the Guardians are convincing oddsmakers that they are at least as likely to win the AL Central as the White Sox.

Even though Cleveland is above Chicago in the standings as of Thursday afternoon, FanGraphs still considers the White Sox as more likely to win the division, with 30.2 percent of chances.

The Twins lead the pack with 47 percent, and the Guards are third with 22.7 percent.

The Detroit Tigers and the Kansas City Royals are probably planning for 2023 at this point.

In any case, the AL Central is a wild ride in which nothing is set in stone.